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All those with an interest in statistics are invited to join the Oxford local chapter of the Royal Statistical Society for an afternoon talk by Rob Mastrodomenico entitled "An introduction to modeling soccer"

Royal Statistical Society - oxford local chapter

The Oxford local chapter of the Royal Statistical Society, hosted by the University of Oxford, brings together anyone with an interest in statistics in Oxfordshire and the surrounding areas. We organise an annual programme of free events and lectures on statistical topics. 

Academics and non-academics are all welcome to join this local RSS chapter. For advance notice of events, join our mailing list by emailing rss_oxford-owner@maillist.ox.ac.uk. We are always interested in new ideas for events and lectures, so do get in touch!

Speaker: Rob Mastrodomenico

After completing a PhD in statistics at the University of Reading, Rob Mastrodomenico worked for four years as a quantitative analyst at Smartodds, a statistical consultancy that provides sports modelling for the betting sector. He now runs his own company, Global Sports Statistics, which employs a team of quantitative statistical analysts, software developers, and qualitative football analysts to help predict future matches.

Talk abstract

An introduction to modeling soccer

Increased data in sports has provided statisticians with the tools to build models of sporting events. This talk will look to show how data from soccer matches can be used to create models with the ability to predict upcoming matches. Starting from a very simple approach, we will show how a modified Poisson approach is able to characterise the dynamics of the beautiful game. Following from the model definition, we fit it on data from England and show how the output can be used in predicting games from the English Premier League.

Refreshments will be served after the talk